Israel has already vaccinated 56.28% of its population. The National Institute of Science has seen a staggering decline since last January 96% of cases in all age groups90% in critical patients and 85% in deaths since last January.
That’s good news, but Can we assure you that this will also be the case in the other countries? Spoiler: no.
Not all success depends on vaccination
Israel has become the country that vaccinates its people fastest. After inoculating all doses purchased from Pfizer in a population of 9 million peopleis already working on a new agreement with the company that aims to generate 36 million additional cans. In particular, 5.27 million Israelis over the age of 16 received a first dose, while 4.84 million received a second injection.
In the graph below we can see the decrease in cases in Israel thanks to vaccination stages with Pfizer-BioNTech::
When we break down this success, we can narrow it down to three basis points on which the decline is based:
- People who are vaccinated have a very low chance of contracting coronavirus.
- After receiving a vaccine dose, vaccines have a lower viral load and therefore There is also a lower chance that the virus will be transmitted.
- Pfizer’s vaccine not only protects those vaccinated, but also provides “cross-protection” for the rest of the population. This emerges from a study carried out at the Technion Institute of Technology in Israel and published in Natural medicine. In other words, if children are not vaccinated, as is currently the case, it doesn’t matter: the more widespread vaccination is in adults, Children catch it less often. In particular, the risk of minors testing positive is halved for every 20 points increase in the number of adults vaccinated in a community.
However, There are other factors that are not closely related to vaccines This should also be taken into account, which would also explain that in countries with high vaccination percentages, these spectacular declines do not occur (even if there are setbacks, as is the case in Chile).
First of all, Containment measures have been gradually relaxed, after very strict containment, and the country remains closed. Ben-Gurion International Airport will also remain practically closed, but the return of Israelis who are still abroad and want to return home has been finally approved.
The government of Israel has also established a culture of analyzing improbable theses. even have an office called “Devil’s Advocate” (Office of the Devil’s Advocate), where the theses that contradict the accepted are examined in order to prepare for contingencies and have as many parameters as possible under control.
Vaccines are not only effective, they are also a requirement Sine qua non get out of this pandemic successfully. However, It’s not just about vaccinesbecause other variables come into play too, such as company behavior. We must therefore prepare for a slow de-escalation, taking into account the evolution of the data. This is the fastest and least traumatic way to achieve the desired group immunity.
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